4 approaches to study and predict the future
In the process of its development as an academic discipline, Futures Studies passed through four basic stages, which developed in turn to four approaches dedicated to helping scholars study the future. Each approach had its advantage and weaknesses.
The first approach, the classical school, aimed at identifying the most probable trends.
The second, the scenarios school, aimed at identifying some possible trends.
The third, the wild cards school, aimed at identifying the implausible trends,
and the fourth, the futures designer school, aimed at developing preferable futures.
Following is a synopsis of the philosophical foundation of each approach. It is important to keep in mind the principles of these approaches while attempting to use Futures Thinking in decision making processes.
Professor Passig will assist in determining the best approach and the relevant methodology to address your needs: